For Monday, March 27th

Universal Law Of Biomechanics: The severity of the itch is inversely proportional to the reach.

* * * Albert Einstein

You can now follow The Vertical Fund's trading action on Twitter @theverticalfund - - not all trades are posted since the primary focus of the trading team is on the markets

THE VERTICAL FUND: The Vertical Fund is now live and ongoing... this fund trades the same main model VP signals presented in each evening briefing... the difference is that The Vertical Fund is professionally managed by our own professional expert Trading Team, members with a Seat on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and with more than 30 years experience located right on the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange...

THE VERTICAL FUND is in real time since its inception on 9/30/16, however due to the ongoing confusion between the weekly and monthly performance updates, if you're interested in knowing the current performance history, then go to our Website at at https://www.theverticalfund .com/ and also ask me for a password for you to enter through the member's page on that Website... the BTIT optimized trading method is now included in the fund's trading strategy as of 1/4/17...

Continue reading

For Friday, March 24th

Universal Law Of Biomechanics: The severity of the itch is inversely proportional to the reach.

* * * Albert Einstein

You can now follow The Vertical Fund's trading action on Twitter @theverticalfund - - not all trades are posted since the primary focus of the trading team is on the markets

THE VERTICAL FUND: The Vertical Fund is now live and ongoing... this fund trades the same main model VP signals presented in each evening briefing... the difference is that The Vertical Fund is professionally managed by our own professional expert Trading Team, members with a Seat on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and with more than 30 years experience located right on the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange...

THE VERTICAL FUND is in real time since its inception on 9/30/16, however due to the ongoing confusion between the weekly and monthly performance updates, if you're interested in knowing the current performance history, then go to our Website at at https://www.theverticalfund .com/ and also ask me for a password for you to enter through the member's page on that Website... the BTIT optimized trading method is now included in the fund's trading strategy as of 1/4/17... Continue reading

For Thursday, March 23rd

Universal Law Of Biomechanics: The severity of the itch is inversely proportional to the reach.

* * * Albert Einstein

You can now follow The Vertical Fund's trading action on Twitter @theverticalfund - - not all trades are posted since the primary focus of the trading team is on the markets

THE VERTICAL FUND: The Vertical Fund is now live and ongoing... this fund trades the same main model VP signals presented in each evening briefing... the difference is that The Vertical Fund is professionally managed by our own professional expert Trading Team, members with a Seat on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and with more than 30 years experience located right on the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange...

THE VERTICAL FUND is in real time since its inception on 9/30/16, however due to the ongoing confusion between the weekly and monthly performance updates, if you're interested in knowing the current performance history, then go to our Website at at https://www.theverticalfund .com/ and also ask me for a password for you to enter through the member's page on that Website... the BTIT optimized trading method is now included in the fund's trading strategy as of 1/4/17... Continue reading

For Wednesday, March 22nd

Universal Law Of The Theater: The people whose seats are the furthest from the aisle always arrive last.

* * * Albert Einstein

You can now follow The Vertical Fund's trading action on Twitter @theverticalfund - - not all trades are posted since the primary focus of the trading team is on the markets

THE VERTICAL FUND: The Vertical Fund is now live and ongoing... this fund trades the same main model VP signals presented in each evening briefing... the difference is that The Vertical Fund is professionally managed by our own professional expert Trading Team, members with a Seat on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and with more than 30 years experience located right on the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange...

THE VERTICAL FUND is in real time since its inception on 9/30/16, however due to the ongoing confusion between the weekly and monthly performance updates, if you're interested in knowing the current performance history, then go to our Website at at https://www.theverticalfund .com/ and also ask me for a password for you to enter through the member's page on that Website... the BTIT optimized trading method is now included in the fund's trading strategy as of 1/4/17...

Continue reading

For Tuesday, March 21st

Universal Law Of The Theater: The people whose seats are the furthest from the aisle always arrive last.

* * * Albert Einstein

You can now follow The Vertical Fund's trading action on Twitter @theverticalfund - - not all trades are posted since the primary focus of the trading team is on the markets

THE VERTICAL FUND: The Vertical Fund is now live and ongoing... this fund trades the same main model VP signals presented in each evening briefing... the difference is that The Vertical Fund is professionally managed by our own professional expert Trading Team, members with a Seat on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and with more than 30 years experience located right on the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange...

THE VERTICAL FUND is in real time since its inception on 9/30/16, however due to the ongoing confusion between the weekly and monthly performance updates, if you're interested in knowing the current performance history, then go to our Website at at https://www.theverticalfund .com/ and also ask me for a password for you to enter through the member's page on that Website... the BTIT optimized trading method is now included in the fund's trading strategy as of 1/4/17...

Continue reading

For Monday, March 20th

"Life is 10% what happens to you and 90% how you handle it."

* * * Anonymous

You can now follow The Vertical Fund's trading action on Twitter @theverticalfund - - not all trades are posted since the primary focus of the trading team is on the markets

THE VERTICAL FUND: The Vertical Fund is now live and ongoing... this fund trades the same main model VP signals presented in each evening briefing... the difference is that The Vertical Fund is professionally managed by our own professional expert Trading Team, members with a Seat on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and with more than 30 years experience located right on the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange...

THE VERTICAL FUND is in real time since its inception on 9/30/16, however due to the ongoing confusion between the weekly and monthly performance updates, if you're interested in knowing the current performance history, then go to our Website at at https://www.theverticalfund .com/ and also ask me for a password for you to enter through the member's page on that Website... the BTIT optimized trading method is now included in the fund's trading strategy as of 1/4/17...

The performance status of The Vertical Fund as of last Friday's close:

From inception on 9/30/16: +2.68%

For the year 2017: +4.22%

A BRIEF TUTORIAL OF ALL MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS is at the bottom of every evening briefing, please take the time to review it every now and then, a good working knowledge of these tools will make you a better and more informed investor/trader...

BROADER TERM INTERMEDIATE TREND BIAS: NEUTRAL AS OF 3/10/17

A close above 2389.84 would turn the BTIT to up...

A close below 2357.87 would turn the BTIT to down...

BTIT Optimized Trade Instructions For Tomorrow:

For the BTIT optimized trader... you are now flat this market... for tomorrow, place a buy stop to go long the June at 2389.90... if filled place an exit stop to go flat at 2379.80... the optimized strategy provides a predetermined limited risk with the optimal time for market participation...

For the BTIT optimized trader... place a sell stop to go short the June at 2357.80 and if filled place a buy stop to go flat at 2367.90... if filled and not stopped out, and the market finishes the day back inside the buy/sell price, then close it out on the close... there may be another opportunity next week for another optimized position entry...

THE BTIT LONGER TERM TRADING STRATEGY

The broader term intermediate trend (BTIT) bias is determined by the collective penetration of the most near term ceiling and floor prices... when ALL the near term ceiling prices have been penetrated on the close and none of the floor prices are penetrated, then the BTIT bias would be UP... when the reverse occurs, then the BTIT bias would be DOWN... the bias would turn to NEUTRAL when one or more of the ceiling/floor prices are penetrated on the close in the counter direction... when in NEUTRAL, the BTIT would again reinstate the most recent UP or DOWN trend bias upon the penetration and close of the nearest recent ceiling/floor...

A long position will be taken when the BTIT turns up and a short position when the BTIT turns down... when the BTIT turns neutral, the position is then closed and will remain flat...

The BTIT optimized trading strategy is a reliable, valid, and profitable strategy designed for those who prefer a broader longer term trade position without close daily monitoring... the price swings are also significantly wider so caution is always highly advised and only a modest position should be taken for this strategy...

The BTIT current non optimized trade position: Flat as of 3/10/17 - - there are now 21 completed trades for a total gain of 541.90 SP points...

VERY IMPORTANT: Please note, all price signals must be taken from the large contract and then the mini can be traded, the mini gives too many false signals... therefore, the following instructions apply only for the large contract... so, get the signal from the large contract and then trade the mini on that large contract signal... you can take the large contract signal and then trade any SP based ETF on that signal...

TOMORROW'S VP SP TRADE STRATEGY:

For Monday, a close above 2378.20 in the JUNE contract would confirm a new main model buy signal... be sure to review the VP price map directly below for additional VP points that may trigger a buy/sell signal...

For Hoban Rule traders, you are currently flat this market... enter a new long position with a close between 2373.20 and 2372.20... if filled, then place an exit stop to go flat at 2380.20... please familiarize yourself with the Hoban Rule entry strategy in case a signal is confirmed on a different VP mid day and how to enter a new position mid day using Rule 3, this easy entry strategy is explained in the tutorial at the bottom of each and every evening briefing... of course, any questions, please just ask...

The Hoban Rule Performance History:

The Hoban Rule was introduced to the evening briefing on 9/4/14... since that time, this strategy has now completed 38 trades for a net gain of 259.80 SP points... this is a simple but elegant strategy for anyone who prefers a less challenging trade plan based on the main model signals... if you would like to see the trade by trade score sheet for the Hoban Rule, just ask me for it and I will email it to you...

Rationale: A VP at 2378.22...

The last trade at this writing is at 2375.00 in the June...

The main model is now short the June SP from 2378.30 as of Friday, March 17th...

The Two Main Model Trade Rules:
1) Any time the market trades above any overhead VP price and then closes below it, this would confirm a new main model sell signal...
2) Any time the market trades below any lower VP price and then closes above it, this would confirm a new main model buy signal...

THE VP PRICE MAP FOR TOMORROW

The VP map tells you everything you need to know, consult the map daily... knowing the map and the two key trading rules will make you a much more savvy trader, so it is extremely important to be familiar with the VP map...

Secondary Vertical Prices (SVP) are for the aggressive trader who is looking for an additional edge on additional exhaustion points... you will notice that the market responds as well to the SVP as to the standard VP points and are traded the same, but for now the main model will use only the standard VP points for official main model signals...

SP JUNE VP PRICES

MAJOR - - 2418.77 and must close below that price on Wednesday, April 5th to confirm a new main model sell signal...
minor - - 2401.04
MAJOR - - 2386.21 and must close below that price on Tuesday, March 28th to confirm a new main model sell signal...

minor - - 2378.22
TODAY'S LAST TRADED PRICE - - 2375.00
minor - - 2350.17
minor - - 2245.28
minor - - 2344.15
MAJOR - - 2332.14 and must close above that price on Tuesday, April 4th to confirm a new main model buy signal...
MAJOR - - 2322.66 and must close above that price on Wednesday, April 5th to confirm a new main model buy signal...

MAJOR - - 2186.65 and must close above that price on Tuesday, May 23rd to confirm a new main model buy signal...
SVP - - none

The above price map is listed in descending order of all currently active vertical prices above and below the market... those in red were generated on previously confirmed buy signals, those in green were generated on previously confirmed sell signals... today's closing price is also included to provide you with a GPS type reading of where the market currently is in relation to all VP points on both sides of the market...

PLEASE NOTE: It is vitally important to know where the market is on this map at all times, the main model buy and sell signals are generated only from this VP map... the trade rules, which you probably already know by now, are very simple and are explained below...

THE MEGA TREND INDICATOR (MTI) - - UP as of 7/29/16

This is a front loaded comparative month by month trading range and weighted average rate of change of the most recent 11 and 14 months and is calculated on the last market day of each month...

A monthly close for March below 2228.80 would turn the MTI to neutral...

A monthly close for March below 2162.40 would turn the MTI to down...

The MTI current trade position: Long from 2168.20, the closing price on 7/29/16...

This model's buy signal is based on the Coppock Curve and has been back tested to 1914 with the DJIA... there have been a total of 22 previous buy signals over the past 102 years since 1914... of the 22 previous buy signals, only two false signals were given, they were given in October, 1938 and in January, 1948... this is a 90.9% accuracy rate since 1914... realize, this is a monthly indicator and these markets can move widely in both directions during mid month...

The NT (Near Term) indicator

The NT continues still lower... now entering oversold territory...

THE FLAT LINE INDICATOR

The flat line graph shows a market drifting nowhere, the momentum is still downward...


THE LT PRICE AND MOMENTUM GRAPH FOR THE SP:

The LT momentum line continues its downward trek and is still in overbought territory...

The APRIL Gold futures

BROADER TERM INTERMEDIATE TREND BIAS: DOWN as of 3/10/17

A close above 1315.701 would turn the BTIT to up...

A close above 1264.901 would turn the BTIT to neutral...

The main model is now long the April gold from 1208.00 as of Wednesday, March 15th...

Today's last trade is at 1228.80...

Today's low was 1224.00, notice how it bounce right at the 1224.12 VP and then rallied right back up... this is positive for next week...

TOMORROW'S GOLD TRADE STRATEGY:

For Monday, a close below 1224.20 in the April Gold contract would confirm a new main model sell signal... also, please review and consult daily with the VP Price Map for any and all main model mid day buy/sell revisions and updates... tomorrow's trade strategy is always subject to revision based on the VP Price Map, so it is extremely important to be familiar with this map listed below... (the Hoban Rule and the optimized BTIT trading strategy were expressly designed for the SP market and for no other market at this time)

Rationale: A VP at 1224.12...

APRIL GOLD VP PRICES

MAJOR - - 1448.501 and must close below that price on Thursday, April 27th to confirm a new main model sell signal...

minor - - 1360.43

SVP - - none
TODAY'S LAST TRADED PRICE - - 1228.80

minor - - 1224.12
minor - - 1214.49
MAJOR - - 1207.91 and must close above that price on Thursday, March 23rd to confirm a new main model buy signal...
MAJOR - - 1193.66 and must close above that price on Friday, March 24th to confirm a new main model buy signal...

The above is a price map in descending order of all currently active vertical prices above and below the market... those in red were generated on previously confirmed buy signals, those in green were generated on previously confirmed sell signals... today's closing price is also included to provide you with a GPS type reading of where the market currently is in relation to all VP points on both sides of the market...

Flat Line Indicator (FLI) for GLD...

THE FLAT LINE INDICATOR HAS BEEN SET FOR TRACKING GLD AND NOT THE FUTURES GOLD MARKET SINCE THE GLD ETF MARKET SHOWS A MORE LIQUID PATTERN...
ALL THE MAIN MODEL SIGNALS FOR THE GOLD FUTURES MARKET WILL STILL REMAIN THE SAME...

The best thing about this flat line graph is that the momentum line is moving back up from an oversold level... encouraging... AND the market price is now above the anti price for the first time in weeks!!! Who knows, we may have a solid gold rally in coming days...


THE LT PRICE AND MOMENTUM GRAPH FOR GOLD:

Wow, even the LT graph shows the momentum line moving higher... I can hardly contain myself!!! LOL!!!

The Main Model Formula Continue reading

For Friday, March 17th

"Money is the root of all wealth."

* * * Anonymous

You can now follow The Vertical Fund's trading action on Twitter @theverticalfund - - not all trades are posted since the primary focus of the trading team is on the markets

THE VERTICAL FUND: The Vertical Fund is now live and ongoing... this fund trades the same main model VP signals presented in each evening briefing... the difference is that The Vertical Fund is professionally managed by our own professional expert Trading Team, members with a Seat on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and with more than 30 years experience located right on the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange...

THE VERTICAL FUND is in real time since its inception on 9/30/16, however due to the ongoing confusion between the weekly and monthly performance updates, if you're interested in knowing the current performance history, then go to our Website at at https://www.theverticalfund .com/ and also ask me for a password for you to enter through the member's page on that Website... the BTIT optimized trading method is now included in the fund's trading strategy as of 1/4/17...

The performance status of The Vertical Fund as of last Friday's close:

From inception on 9/30/16: +2.68%

For the year 2017: +4.22%

A BRIEF TUTORIAL OF ALL MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS is at the bottom of every evening briefing, please take the time to review it every now and then, a good working knowledge of these tools will make you a better and more informed investor/trader...

BROADER TERM INTERMEDIATE TREND BIAS: NEUTRAL AS OF 3/10/17

A close above 2391.51 would turn the BTIT to up...

A close below 2356.47 would turn the BTIT to down...

BTIT Optimized Trade Instructions For Tomorrow:

For the BTIT optimized trader... you are now flat this market... for tomorrow, place a buy stop to go long the June at 2391.60... if filled place an exit stop to go flat at 2381.50... the optimized strategy provides a predetermined limited risk with the optimal time for market participation...

For the BTIT optimized trader... place a sell stop to go short the June at 2356.40 and if filled place a buy stop to go flat at 2366.50... if filled and not stopped out, and the market finishes the day back inside the buy/sell price, then close it out on the close... there may be another opportunity next week for another optimized position entry...

THE BTIT LONGER TERM TRADING STRATEGY

The broader term intermediate trend (BTIT) bias is determined by the collective penetration of the most near term ceiling and floor prices... when ALL the near term ceiling prices have been penetrated on the close and none of the floor prices are penetrated, then the BTIT bias would be UP... when the reverse occurs, then the BTIT bias would be DOWN... the bias would turn to NEUTRAL when one or more of the ceiling/floor prices are penetrated on the close in the counter direction... when in NEUTRAL, the BTIT would again reinstate the most recent UP or DOWN trend bias upon the penetration and close of the nearest recent ceiling/floor...

A long position will be taken when the BTIT turns up and a short position when the BTIT turns down... when the BTIT turns neutral, the position is then closed and will remain flat...

The BTIT optimized trading strategy is a reliable, valid, and profitable strategy designed for those who prefer a broader longer term trade position without close daily monitoring... the price swings are also significantly wider so caution is always highly advised and only a modest position should be taken for this strategy...

The BTIT current non optimized trade position: Flat as of 3/10/17 - - there are now 21 completed trades for a total gain of 541.90 SP points...

VERY IMPORTANT: Please note, all price signals must be taken from the large contract and then the mini can be traded, the mini gives too many false signals... therefore, the following instructions apply only for the large contract... so, get the signal from the large contract and then trade the mini on that large contract signal... you can take the large contract signal and then trade any SP based ETF on that signal...

TOMORROW'S VP SP TRADE STRATEGY:

For Friday, a close below 2378.30 in the JUNE contract would confirm a new main model sell signal... be sure to review the VP price map directly below for additional VP points that may trigger a buy/sell signal...

For Hoban Rule traders, you are currently flat this market... enter a new short position with a close between 2373.30 and 2372.30... if filled, then place an exit stop to go flat at 2380.30... please familiarize yourself with the Hoban Rule entry strategy in case a signal is confirmed on a different VP mid day and how to enter a new position mid day using Rule 3, this easy entry strategy is explained in the tutorial at the bottom of each and every evening briefing... of course, any questions, please just ask...

The Hoban Rule Performance History:

The Hoban Rule was introduced to the evening briefing on 9/4/14... since that time, this strategy has now completed 38 trades for a net gain of 259.80 SP points... this is a simple but elegant strategy for anyone who prefers a less challenging trade plan based on the main model signals... if you would like to see the trade by trade score sheet for the Hoban Rule, just ask me for it and I will email it to you...

Rationale: A VP at 2378.22...

The last trade at this writing is at 2379.00 in the June...

The main model is now long the June SP from 2362.80 as of Friday, March 10th...

The Two Main Model Trade Rules:
1) Any time the market trades above any overhead VP price and then closes below it, this would confirm a new main model sell signal...
2) Any time the market trades below any lower VP price and then closes above it, this would confirm a new main model buy signal...

THE VP PRICE MAP FOR TOMORROW

The VP map tells you everything you need to know, consult the map daily... knowing the map and the two key trading rules will make you a much more savvy trader, so it is extremely important to be familiar with the VP map...

Secondary Vertical Prices (SVP) are for the aggressive trader who is looking for an additional edge on additional exhaustion points... you will notice that the market responds as well to the SVP as to the standard VP points and are traded the same, but for now the main model will use only the standard VP points for official main model signals...

SP JUNE VP PRICES

MAJOR - - 2418.77 and must close below that price on Wednesday, April 5th to confirm a new main model sell signal...
minor - - 2401.04
MAJOR - - 2386.21 and must close below that price on Tuesday, March 28th to confirm a new main model sell signal...

TODAY'S LAST TRADED PRICE - - 2379.00
minor - - 2378.22

minor - - 2362.81
minor - - 2350.17
minor - - 2344.15
MAJOR - - 2332.14 and must close above that price on Tuesday, April 4th to confirm a new main model buy signal...
MAJOR - - 2322.66 and must close above that price on Wednesday, April 5th to confirm a new main model buy signal...
minor - - 2245.28
MAJOR - - 2186.65 and must close above that price on Tuesday, May 23rd to confirm a new main model buy signal...
SVP - - none

The above price map is listed in descending order of all currently active vertical prices above and below the market... those in red were generated on previously confirmed buy signals, those in green were generated on previously confirmed sell signals... today's closing price is also included to provide you with a GPS type reading of where the market currently is in relation to all VP points on both sides of the market...

PLEASE NOTE: It is vitally important to know where the market is on this map at all times, the main model buy and sell signals are generated only from this VP map... the trade rules, which you probably already know by now, are very simple and are explained below...

THE MEGA TREND INDICATOR (MTI) - - UP as of 7/29/16

This is a front loaded comparative month by month trading range and weighted average rate of change of the most recent 11 and 14 months and is calculated on the last market day of each month...

A monthly close for March below 2228.80 would turn the MTI to neutral...

A monthly close for March below 2162.40 would turn the MTI to down...

The MTI current trade position: Long from 2168.20, the closing price on 7/29/16...

This model's buy signal is based on the Coppock Curve and has been back tested to 1914 with the DJIA... there have been a total of 22 previous buy signals over the past 102 years since 1914... of the 22 previous buy signals, only two false signals were given, they were given in October, 1938 and in January, 1948... this is a 90.9% accuracy rate since 1914... realize, this is a monthly indicator and these markets can move widely in both directions during mid month...

The NT (Near Term) indicator

The NT indicator continues lower...

THE FLAT LINE INDICATOR

The flat line turned lower today and the momentum line never turned upward... there's still some downward pressure on this market...


THE LT PRICE AND MOMENTUM GRAPH FOR THE SP:

Still no help from the longer term momentum line, it still moves lower...

The APRIL Gold futures

BROADER TERM INTERMEDIATE TREND BIAS: DOWN as of 3/10/17

A close above 1315.701 would turn the BTIT to up...

A close above 1264.901 would turn the BTIT to neutral...

The main model is now long the April gold from 1208.00 as of Wednesday, March 15th...

Today's last trade is at 1226.40...

TOMORROW'S GOLD TRADE STRATEGY:

For Friday, a close below 1224.20 in the April Gold contract would confirm a new main model sell signal... also, please review and consult daily with the VP Price Map for any and all main model mid day buy/sell revisions and updates... tomorrow's trade strategy is always subject to revision based on the VP Price Map, so it is extremely important to be familiar with this map listed below... (the Hoban Rule and the optimized BTIT trading strategy were expressly designed for the SP market and for no other market at this time)

Rationale: A VP at 1224.12...

APRIL GOLD VP PRICES

MAJOR - - 1448.501 and must close below that price on Thursday, April 27th to confirm a new main model sell signal...

minor - - 1360.43

SVP - - none
TODAY'S LAST TRADED PRICE - - 1226.40

minor - - 1224.12
minor - - 1214.49
MAJOR - - 1207.91 and must close above that price on Thursday, March 23rd to confirm a new main model buy signal...
MAJOR - - 1193.66 and must close above that price on Friday, March 24th to confirm a new main model buy signal...

The above is a price map in descending order of all currently active vertical prices above and below the market... those in red were generated on previously confirmed buy signals, those in green were generated on previously confirmed sell signals... today's closing price is also included to provide you with a GPS type reading of where the market currently is in relation to all VP points on both sides of the market...

Flat Line Indicator (FLI) for GLD...

THE FLAT LINE INDICATOR HAS BEEN SET FOR TRACKING GLD AND NOT THE FUTURES GOLD MARKET SINCE THE GLD ETF MARKET SHOWS A MORE LIQUID PATTERN...
ALL THE MAIN MODEL SIGNALS FOR THE GOLD FUTURES MARKET WILL STILL REMAIN THE SAME...

The momentum line is beginning to turn... but the rally stalled today, typically not an encouraging sign...


THE LT PRICE AND MOMENTUM GRAPH FOR GOLD:

This may be hard to believe, but the LT momentum line actually turned upward as of today... can it last overnight???

The Main Model Formula Continue reading

For Thursday, March 16th

The Law of Changing Lanes: As soon as you change traffic lanes, the lane you just left will begin to move faster than the one you are now in.

* * * Albert Einstein

You can now follow The Vertical Fund's trading action on Twitter @theverticalfund - - not all trades are posted since the primary focus of the trading team is on the markets

THE VERTICAL FUND: The Vertical Fund is now live and ongoing... this fund trades the same main model VP signals presented in each evening briefing... the difference is that The Vertical Fund is professionally managed by our own professional expert Trading Team, members with a Seat on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and with more than 30 years experience located right on the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange...

THE VERTICAL FUND is in real time since its inception on 9/30/16, however due to the ongoing confusion between the weekly and monthly performance updates, if you're interested in knowing the current performance history, then go to our Website at at https://www.theverticalfund .com/ and also ask me for a password for you to enter through the member's page on that Website... the BTIT optimized trading method is now included in the fund's trading strategy as of 1/4/17...

The performance status of The Vertical Fund as of last Friday's close:

From inception on 9/30/16: +2.68%

For the year 2017: +4.22%

A BRIEF TUTORIAL OF ALL MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS is at the bottom of every evening briefing, please take the time to review it every now and then, a good working knowledge of these tools will make you a better and more informed investor/trader...

BROADER TERM INTERMEDIATE TREND BIAS: NEUTRAL AS OF 3/10/17

A close above 2392.96 would turn the BTIT to up...

A close below 2355.27 would turn the BTIT to down...

BTIT Optimized Trade Instructions For Tomorrow:

For the BTIT optimized trader... you are now flat this market... for tomorrow, place a buy stop to go long the June at 2393.00... if filled place an exit stop to go flat at 2382.90... the optimized strategy provides a predetermined limited risk with the optimal time for market participation...

For the BTIT optimized trader... place a sell stop to go short the June at 2355.20 and if filled place a buy stop to go flat at 2365.30... if filled and not stopped out, and the market finishes the day back inside the buy/sell price, then close it out on the close... there may be another opportunity next week for another optimized position entry...

THE BTIT LONGER TERM TRADING STRATEGY

The broader term intermediate trend (BTIT) bias is determined by the collective penetration of the most near term ceiling and floor prices... when ALL the near term ceiling prices have been penetrated on the close and none of the floor prices are penetrated, then the BTIT bias would be UP... when the reverse occurs, then the BTIT bias would be DOWN... the bias would turn to NEUTRAL when one or more of the ceiling/floor prices are penetrated on the close in the counter direction... when in NEUTRAL, the BTIT would again reinstate the most recent UP or DOWN trend bias upon the penetration and close of the nearest recent ceiling/floor...

A long position will be taken when the BTIT turns up and a short position when the BTIT turns down... when the BTIT turns neutral, the position is then closed and will remain flat...

The BTIT optimized trading strategy is a reliable, valid, and profitable strategy designed for those who prefer a broader longer term trade position without close daily monitoring... the price swings are also significantly wider so caution is always highly advised and only a modest position should be taken for this strategy...

The BTIT current non optimized trade position: Flat as of 3/10/17 - - there are now 21 completed trades for a total gain of 541.90 SP points...

VERY IMPORTANT: Please note, all price signals must be taken from the large contract and then the mini can be traded, the mini gives too many false signals... therefore, the following instructions apply only for the large contract... so, get the signal from the large contract and then trade the mini on that large contract signal... you can take the large contract signal and then trade any SP based ETF on that signal...

TOMORROW'S VP SP TRADE STRATEGY:

For Thursday, a close below 2378.30 in the JUNE contract would confirm a new main model sell signal... be sure to review the VP price map directly below for additional VP points that may trigger a buy/sell signal...

For Hoban Rule traders, you are currently flat this market... enter a new short position with a close between 2375.30 and 2374.30... if filled, then place an exit stop to go flat at 2380.30... please familiarize yourself with the Hoban Rule entry strategy in case a signal is confirmed on a different VP mid day and how to enter a new position mid day using Rule 3, this easy entry strategy is explained in the tutorial at the bottom of each and every evening briefing... of course, any questions, please just ask...

The Hoban Rule Performance History:

The Hoban Rule was introduced to the evening briefing on 9/4/14... since that time, this strategy has now completed 38 trades for a net gain of 259.80 SP points... this is a simple but elegant strategy for anyone who prefers a less challenging trade plan based on the main model signals... if you would like to see the trade by trade score sheet for the Hoban Rule, just ask me for it and I will email it to you...

Rationale: A major VP at 2386.21...

The last trade at this writing is at 2381.00 in the June...

The main model is now long the June SP from 2362.80 as of Friday, March 10th...

The Two Main Model Trade Rules:
1) Any time the market trades above any overhead VP price and then closes below it, this would confirm a new main model sell signal...
2) Any time the market trades below any lower VP price and then closes above it, this would confirm a new main model buy signal...

THE VP PRICE MAP FOR TOMORROW

The VP map tells you everything you need to know, consult the map daily... knowing the map and the two key trading rules will make you a much more savvy trader, so it is extremely important to be familiar with the VP map...

Secondary Vertical Prices (SVP) are for the aggressive trader who is looking for an additional edge on additional exhaustion points... you will notice that the market responds as well to the SVP as to the standard VP points and are traded the same, but for now the main model will use only the standard VP points for official main model signals...

SP JUNE VP PRICES

MAJOR - - 2418.77 and must close below that price on Wednesday, April 5th to confirm a new main model sell signal...
minor - - 2401.04
MAJOR - - 2386.21 and must close below that price on Tuesday, March 28th to confirm a new main model sell signal... NEW TODAY

TODAY'S LAST TRADED PRICE - - 2381.00
minor - - 2378.22

minor - - 2362.81 out after today, the 15th
minor - - 2350.17
minor - - 2344.15
MAJOR - - 2332.14 and must close above that price on Tuesday, April 4th to confirm a new main model buy signal...
MAJOR - - 2322.66 and must close above that price on Wednesday, April 5th to confirm a new main model buy signal...
minor - - 2245.28
MAJOR - - 2186.65 and must close above that price on Tuesday, May 23rd to confirm a new main model buy signal...
SVP - - none

The above price map is listed in descending order of all currently active vertical prices above and below the market... those in red were generated on previously confirmed buy signals, those in green were generated on previously confirmed sell signals... today's closing price is also included to provide you with a GPS type reading of where the market currently is in relation to all VP points on both sides of the market...

PLEASE NOTE: It is vitally important to know where the market is on this map at all times, the main model buy and sell signals are generated only from this VP map... the trade rules, which you probably already know by now, are very simple and are explained below...

THE MEGA TREND INDICATOR (MTI) - - UP as of 7/29/16

This is a front loaded comparative month by month trading range and weighted average rate of change of the most recent 11 and 14 months and is calculated on the last market day of each month...

A monthly close for March below 2228.80 would turn the MTI to neutral...

A monthly close for March below 2162.40 would turn the MTI to down...

The MTI current trade position: Long from 2168.20, the closing price on 7/29/16...

This model's buy signal is based on the Coppock Curve and has been back tested to 1914 with the DJIA... there have been a total of 22 previous buy signals over the past 102 years since 1914... of the 22 previous buy signals, only two false signals were given, they were given in October, 1938 and in January, 1948... this is a 90.9% accuracy rate since 1914... realize, this is a monthly indicator and these markets can move widely in both directions during mid month...

The NT (Near Term) indicator

Even with a higher market today, the NT indicator moved lower... nothing to worry about for now...

THE FLAT LINE INDICATOR

The flat line suggests a major low has been put in place and this market is ready for a rally... notice how the market price is now moving higher towards the anti price which is now moving lower... this is positive...


THE LT PRICE AND MOMENTUM GRAPH FOR THE SP:

The LT line continues lower, but has turned a bit more sideways...

The APRIL Gold futures

BROADER TERM INTERMEDIATE TREND BIAS: DOWN as of 3/10/17

A close above 1315.701 would turn the BTIT to up...

A close above 1264.901 would turn the BTIT to neutral...

The main model is now long the April gold from 1208.00 as of Wednesday, March 15th...

Today's last trade is at 1220.50...

TOMORROW'S GOLD TRADE STRATEGY:

For Thursday, a close below 1214.50 in the April Gold contract would confirm a new main model sell signal... also, please review and consult daily with the VP Price Map for any and all main model mid day buy/sell revisions and updates... tomorrow's trade strategy is always subject to revision based on the VP Price Map, so it is extremely important to be familiar with this map listed below... (the Hoban Rule and the optimized BTIT trading strategy were expressly designed for the SP market and for no other market at this time)

Rationale: A VP at 1214.99...

APRIL GOLD VP PRICES

MAJOR - - 1448.501 and must close below that price on Thursday, April 27th to confirm a new main model sell signal...

minor - - 1360.43

SVP - - none

minor - - 1224.12
TODAY'S LAST TRADED PRICE - - 1220.50
minor - - 1214.49
MAJOR - - 1207.91 and must close above that price on Thursday, March 23rd to confirm a new main model buy signal...
MAJOR - - 1193.66 and must close above that price on Friday, March 24th to confirm a new main model buy signal...

The above is a price map in descending order of all currently active vertical prices above and below the market... those in red were generated on previously confirmed buy signals, those in green were generated on previously confirmed sell signals... today's closing price is also included to provide you with a GPS type reading of where the market currently is in relation to all VP points on both sides of the market...

Flat Line Indicator (FLI) for GLD...

THE FLAT LINE INDICATOR HAS BEEN SET FOR TRACKING GLD AND NOT THE FUTURES GOLD MARKET SINCE THE GLD ETF MARKET SHOWS A MORE LIQUID PATTERN...
ALL THE MAIN MODEL SIGNALS FOR THE GOLD FUTURES MARKET WILL STILL REMAIN THE SAME...

Good buy signal today, this market has probably found a significant bottom here... we should see a good rally now... let's hope...


THE LT PRICE AND MOMENTUM GRAPH FOR GOLD:

You may not be able to see it, but the LT line has gone completely flat today... this is encouraging... this momentum line has just barely approached the neutral level...

The Main Model Formula Continue reading