For Tuesday, April 1st

The June SP Futures
A BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS can be found at the bottom of every email briefing for your easy quick reference and convenience...
PLEASE TAKE THE TIME TO REVIEW THE TUTORIAL EVERY NOW AND THEN, THESE ARE THE NAVIGATIONAL TOOLS NEEDED TO MANEUVER SAFELY THROUGH THESE MARKETS, A GOOD WORKING KNOWLEDGE OF THESE TOOLS WILL MAKE YOU A BETTER AND MORE INFORMED INVESTOR/TRADER...
The main model remains long the June SP from 1849.00 as of Tuesday, March 25th... 
For the JUNE SP futures, the last trade as of this writing is at 1863.10...
For Tuesday, a close below 1834.50 in the June SP futures would confirm a new main model sell signal... 
 
The NT (Near Term) indicator
The NT is inching higher but appearing to fade some...  so far, the buy spike of last week is holding promise, but the market just "looks" tired...  but either way, the main model is long, so we hold our long positions to the bitter end...
The LT (Long Term) indicator
We can see that the blue line has crossed above the red line today...  this is definitely promising for our current position...
The following are the current upside VPs for the JUNE SP...  note the MAJOR VP due dates are in close proximity...
minor - - 1879.50
minor - - 1881.70
MAJOR - - 1891.40 and must close below that price on Thursday, April 17th to confirm a new main model sell  signal...
MAJOR - - 1897.60 and must close below that price on Thursday, April 24th to confirm a new main model sell signal...
MAJOR - - 1903.60 and must close below that price on Friday, April 18th to confirm a new main model sell signal...
For now, the main model remains long the SP...
The April Gold futures
The main model is short April gold from 1379.90 as of Monday, March 17th...
For the April gold futures, the last trade as of this writing is at 1284.10...
PLEASE NOTE:  We're switching to the June gold contract as of tomorrow for all new positions...
Today, we again witnessed a classic market behavior at the major VP price in the gold market...  as clearly explained in the tutorial at the bottom of each of these email briefings, a market is very likely to bounce after touching a major downside VP, BUT if the market returns to revisit that VP, then the trend downward is likely to continue...  this is exactly what we saw in the gold market...  we had a solid rally off the initial major VP, but then the market returned to it...  this was not bullish...  and then we saw the gold market decline even further, as would be expected...  by the end of the trading day today, the gold market reached the next lower major VP, so now it remains to be seen what kind of bounce we may see, if any...  it's important to note here, how the market behaves in the vicinity of those major VP points will tell us what the market is likely to do next...    we could actually see a buy signal triggered tomorrow if we see a spirited rally back up above 1300...
For Tuesday, a close above 1299.40 in the JUNE gold contract would confirm a new main model buy signal...   
 
The gold LT indicator
The only encouraging thing for gold here is that the LT is reaching well into the oversold zone...  that, along with having reached two major downside VPs, it seems reasonable that we could see gold rally from here...  or, maybe a possible bottom of sorts...  time will tell...  we still have one lower major VP remaining...
The following are the current downside VPs for April gold...
minor - - 1322.60 (already reached)
minor - - 1313.70 (already reached)
minor - - 1300.00 (already reached)
MAJOR - - 1293.80 (already reached) and must close above that price on Tuesday, April 29th to confirm a new main model buy signal...
MAJOR - - 1282.70 (already reached) and must close above that price on Tuesday, April 29th to confirm a new main model buy signal...  NOTICE THE SAME DATES WERE GENERATED FOR BOTH MAJOR VP POINTS...
MAJOR - - 1263.40 and must close above that price on Wednesday, April 30th to confirm a new main model buy signal...  AND THIS MAJOR VP IS SCHEDULED ONLY ONE DAY LATER...
As for now, the main model remains short gold...


BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS:
 
The SP confirmation close ALWAYS refers to the large contract 4:15 pm futures closing price...
 
The NT Indicator
 

The NT indicator is a near term (NT) indicator and is included in the evening briefings for the benefit of those who make counter trend trades... the NT buy and sell spikes are not main model buy and sell signals, these spikes are only very near term, although they could always develop into something more significant over the next few days...  using a weather analogy, the buy/sell spikes are much like a developing low pressure area or a tropical wave, they do not indicate a fully blown hurricane, although it could eventually develop...  if a fully blown hurricane actually does develop, then the main model signal itself would address that market action...

 
How To Read The NT Indicator
 
The best and safest time to take an NT signal is when the market has already trended for some time and is now approaching a VP price, especially a major VP, then the NT spike would indicate that the trend is likely to reverse since the market is already vulnerable at a VP price, the NT spike provides greater certainty for that counter trend trade...
 
The VP Price
The VP, or Vertical Price, is NOT a target, the market is not required or expected to reach any VP price...  however, if reached, the VP price represents where the buying/selling has stretched to its maximum exhaustion point, at least temporarily, and a change in trend is very likely... 
 
How To Read The VP Price
 
If the market touches and then moves away from the VP very quickly and doesn't return, then this more than likely indicates a market reversal, but if the market moves away from the VP and then returns within a day or two, maybe sooner, then the move is not over and the market is likely to continue in its current trend... repeated visits to a VP suggests the move is not yet over... 
 
A Suggestion On How To Enter A Position On A New Main Model Signal
 
One way to enter a new signal trade is to take only 1/3 position only after the market trades through the confirmation price by a few points...  after that initial position is taken, let the market do what it does all day...  then, late in the day, if the market is still confirming the signal, then add the second 1/3 position...  and then, on the close take the final 1/3 position...  your average entry price will be above/below the confirmation price but the whips will be significantly reduced...  this is a method I use for myself very often...
 
Another way to enter a new position is to wait for the actual confirmation on the close, and then take the new position...
 
Rejected Buy/Sell Signals
 
Rejected buy and/or sell signals are typically followed by a sharp market move in the opposite direction the following day, this occurs as a general rule...  a rejected sell signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp rally...  as well, a rejected buy signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp decline...  however, if the sharp rally/decline does not occur, then you can expect to see the market make another attempt at that buy/sell signal...
 
The Long Term (LT) Indicator
 

The long term (LT) indicator is a myriad of indicators that give you an X-ray view of the market internals and trend...

 
The green line = the closing price for the specific market
 
The red line = the confirmation line
 
The purple line = the early warning line
 
The blue line = the imminent warning line
 
The purple and blue lines crossing the red line gives you early and imminent warning of a change in trend direction...
 
 
The email SUGGESTION BOX is always open and invites your ideas for improving and enhancing your email service, I enjoy hearing from you, many thanks...
NOTICE: I SEND OUT AN EMAIL EVERY WEEKDAY EVENING, IF YOU DO NOT RECEIVE ONE, PLEASE LET ME KNOW, THANKS... 

For Monday, March 31st

The June SP Futures
A BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS can be found at the bottom of every email briefing for your easy quick reference and convenience...
PLEASE TAKE THE TIME TO REVIEW THE TUTORIAL EVERY NOW AND THEN, THESE ARE THE NAVIGATIONAL TOOLS NEEDED TO MANEUVER SAFELY THROUGH THESE MARKETS, A GOOD WORKING KNOWLEDGE OF THESE TOOLS WILL MAKE YOU A BETTER AND MORE INFORMED INVESTOR/TRADER...
The main model remains long the June SP from 1849.00 as of Tuesday, March 25th... 
For the JUNE SP futures, the last trade as of this writing is at 1850.40...
For Monday, again, a close below 1842.70 in the June SP futures would confirm a new main model sell signal... 
 
Yesterday, we had a buy spike in the NT and also a rejected sell signal...  so, as mentioned in yesterday's briefing, a rally today was anticipated...  if yesterday's original sell price remained intact, then we would already be short this market...  apparently, the main model saw today's rally coming...  but now, it seems this market is back to its old tricks...  today's afternoon weakness was not expected...  we'll see what Monday brings...
 
The NT (Near Term) indicator
Yesterday's buy spike is still intact and continues working higher...  the noteworthy concern here is that the buy spike is occurring in over bought territory...  if it occurred deep in the over sold zone, then I would feel better about it, see the two previous buy spikes in over sold territory...
The LT (Long Term) indicator
We can see the purple line, which is the early warning line, diverge its bottom from the blue line and work higher along with the blue line...  the red line is still moving lower despite a higher close for the market today...  of noteworthy interest here is that at the high of the day today, the blue line was very close to crossing the red line, but then the market sold off once more...
The following are the current upside VPs for the JUNE SP...  note the MAJOR VP due dates are in close proximity...
minor - - 1879.50
minor - - 1881.70
MAJOR - - 1891.40 and must close below that price on Thursday, April 17th to confirm a new main model sell  signal...
MAJOR - - 1897.60 and must close below that price on Thursday, April 24th to confirm a new main model sell signal...
MAJOR - - 1903.60 and must close below that price on Friday, April 18th to confirm a new main model sell signal...
For now, the main model remains long the SP...
The April Gold futures
The main model is short April gold from 1379.90 as of Monday, March 17th...
For the April gold futures, the last trade as of this writing is at 1293.20...
For Monday, a close above 1332.50 in the April gold contract would confirm a new main model buy signal... 
 
The gold LT indicator
The LT for gold today looks interesting...  notice the little double bottom type pattern in the purple early warning line while turning higher even though the market itself was lower again today...  I'm sure, as you are all so well aware (if you know the effects of the VP on market action), the market reach the initial downside major VP and then almost touched the second downside major VP...  but before it could touch the second VP, the market rallied right back up to the first VP...  gee, no surprise...  this market is illustrating classic major VP behavior...  we should see a rally from these levels provided nothing too funny interferes over the weekend...
The following are the current downside VPs for April gold...
minor - - 1322.60 (already reached)
minor - - 1313.70 (already reached)
minor - - 1300.00 (already reached)
MAJOR - - 1293.80 (already reached) and must close above that price on Tuesday, April 29th to confirm a new main model buy signal...
MAJOR - - 1282.70 and must close above that price on Tuesday, April 29th to confirm a new main model buy signal...  NOTICE THE SAME DATES WERE GENERATED FOR BOTH MAJOR VP POINTS...
MAJOR - - 1263.40 and must close above that price on Wednesday, April 30th to confirm a new main model buy signal...  AND THIS MAJOR VP IS SCHEDULED ONLY ONE DAY LATER...
As for now, the main model remains short gold...


BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS:
 
The SP confirmation close ALWAYS refers to the large contract 4:15 pm futures closing price...
 
The NT Indicator
 

The NT indicator is a near term (NT) indicator and is included in the evening briefings for the benefit of those who make counter trend trades... the NT buy and sell spikes are not main model buy and sell signals, these spikes are only very near term, although they could always develop into something more significant over the next few days...  using a weather analogy, the buy/sell spikes are much like a developing low pressure area or a tropical wave, they do not indicate a fully blown hurricane, although it could eventually develop...  if a fully blown hurricane actually does develop, then the main model signal itself would address that market action...

 
How To Read The NT Indicator
 
The best and safest time to take an NT signal is when the market has already trended for some time and is now approaching a VP price, especially a major VP, then the NT spike would indicate that the trend is likely to reverse since the market is already vulnerable at a VP price, the NT spike provides greater certainty for that counter trend trade...
 
The VP Price
The VP, or Vertical Price, is NOT a target, the market is not required or expected to reach any VP price...  however, if reached, the VP price represents where the buying/selling has stretched to its maximum exhaustion point, at least temporarily, and a change in trend is very likely... 
 
How To Read The VP Price
 
If the market touches and then moves away from the VP very quickly and doesn't return, then this more than likely indicates a market reversal, but if the market moves away from the VP and then returns within a day or two, maybe sooner, then the move is not over and the market is likely to continue in its current trend... repeated visits to a VP suggests the move is not yet over... 
 
A Suggestion On How To Enter A Position On A New Main Model Signal
 
One way to enter a new signal trade is to take only 1/3 position only after the market trades through the confirmation price by a few points...  after that initial position is taken, let the market do what it does all day...  then, late in the day, if the market is still confirming the signal, then add the second 1/3 position...  and then, on the close take the final 1/3 position...  your average entry price will be above/below the confirmation price but the whips will be significantly reduced...  this is a method I use for myself very often...
 
Another way to enter a new position is to wait for the actual confirmation on the close, and then take the new position...
 
Rejected Buy/Sell Signals
 
Rejected buy and/or sell signals are typically followed by a sharp market move in the opposite direction the following day, this occurs as a general rule...  a rejected sell signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp rally...  as well, a rejected buy signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp decline...  however, if the sharp rally/decline does not occur, then you can expect to see the market make another attempt at that buy/sell signal...
 
The Long Term (LT) Indicator
 

The long term (LT) indicator is a myriad of indicators that give you an X-ray view of the market internals and trend...

 
The green line = the closing price for the specific market
 
The red line = the confirmation line
 
The purple line = the early warning line
 
The blue line = the imminent warning line
 
The purple and blue lines crossing the red line gives you early and imminent warning of a change in trend direction...
 
 
The email SUGGESTION BOX is always open and invites your ideas for improving and enhancing your email service, I enjoy hearing from you, many thanks...
NOTICE: I SEND OUT AN EMAIL EVERY WEEKDAY EVENING, IF YOU DO NOT RECEIVE ONE, PLEASE LET ME KNOW, THANKS... 

For Friday, March 28th

The June SP Futures
A BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS can be found at the bottom of every email briefing for your easy quick reference and convenience...
PLEASE TAKE THE TIME TO REVIEW THE TUTORIAL EVERY NOW AND THEN, THESE ARE THE NAVIGATIONAL TOOLS NEEDED TO MANEUVER SAFELY THROUGH THESE MARKETS, A GOOD WORKING KNOWLEDGE OF THESE TOOLS WILL MAKE YOU A BETTER AND MORE INFORMED INVESTOR/TRADER...
The main model is now long the June SP from 1849.00 as of Tuesday, March 25th... 
For the JUNE SP futures, the last trade as of this writing is at 1841.10...
For Friday, a close below 1842.70 in the June SP futures would confirm a new main model sell signal... 
 
Today we saw quite a battle between the bulls and the bears...  and the final tug of war was right at the revised confirmation price, this is not unusual, these confirmation prices are not arbitrary... and then, the final tick jumped above the confirmation price to keep the main model long the SP...
 
The NT (Near Term) indicator
Today, we have an NT buy spike...  and a rejected sell signal, this has to be considered bullish for tomorrow...
The LT (Long Term) indicator
All lines continue lower...  the blue and purple are both below the zero line, so are  now entering oversold territory...
The following are the current upside VPs for the JUNE SP...  note the MAJOR VP due dates are in close proximity...
minor - - 1879.10
minor - - 1881.70
MAJOR - - 1891.40 and must close below that price on Thursday, April 17th to confirm a new main model sell  signal...
MAJOR - - 1894.30 and must close below that price on Friday, April 18th to confirm a new main model sell signal...
MAJOR - - 1903.60 and must close below that price on Friday, April 18th to confirm a new main model sell signal...
For now, the main model remains long the SP...
The April Gold futures
The main model is short April gold from 1379.90 as of Monday, March 17th...
For the April gold futures, the last trade as of this writing is at 1291.40...
For Friday, a close above 1346.10 in the April gold contract would confirm a new main model buy signal... 
 
The gold LT indicator
Both the purple and blue lines are well into the oversold zone...  gold today also reach the initial major VP at 1293.80...
The following are the current downside VPs for April gold...
minor - - 1322.60 (already reached)
minor - - 1313.70 (already reached)
minor - - 1300.00 (already reached)
MAJOR - - 1293.80 (already reached) and must close above that price on Tuesday, April 29th to confirm a new main model buy signal...
MAJOR - - 1282.70 and must close above that price on Tuesday, April 29th to confirm a new main model buy signal...  NOTICE THE SAME DATES WERE GENERATED FOR BOTH MAJOR VP POINTS...
MAJOR - - 1263.40 and must close above that price on Wednesday, April 30th to confirm a new main model buy signal...  AND THIS MAJOR VP IS SCHEDULED ONLY ONE DAY LATER...
As for now, the main model remains short gold...


BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS:
 
The SP confirmation close ALWAYS refers to the large contract 4:15 pm futures closing price...
 
The NT Indicator
 

The NT indicator is a near term (NT) indicator and is included in the evening briefings for the benefit of those who make counter trend trades... the NT buy and sell spikes are not main model buy and sell signals, these spikes are only very near term, although they could always develop into something more significant over the next few days...  using a weather analogy, the buy/sell spikes are much like a developing low pressure area or a tropical wave, they do not indicate a fully blown hurricane, although it could eventually develop...  if a fully blown hurricane actually does develop, then the main model signal itself would address that market action...

 
How To Read The NT Indicator
 
The best and safest time to take an NT signal is when the market has already trended for some time and is now approaching a VP price, especially a major VP, then the NT spike would indicate that the trend is likely to reverse since the market is already vulnerable at a VP price, the NT spike provides greater certainty for that counter trend trade...
 
The VP Price
The VP, or Vertical Price, is NOT a target, the market is not required or expected to reach any VP price...  however, if reached, the VP price represents where the buying/selling has stretched to its maximum exhaustion point, at least temporarily, and a change in trend is very likely... 
 
How To Read The VP Price
 
If the market touches and then moves away from the VP very quickly and doesn't return, then this more than likely indicates a market reversal, but if the market moves away from the VP and then returns within a day or two, maybe sooner, then the move is not over and the market is likely to continue in its current trend... repeated visits to a VP suggests the move is not yet over... 
 
A Suggestion On How To Enter A Position On A New Main Model Signal
 
One way to enter a new signal trade is to take only 1/3 position only after the market trades through the confirmation price by a few points...  after that initial position is taken, let the market do what it does all day...  then, late in the day, if the market is still confirming the signal, then add the second 1/3 position...  and then, on the close take the final 1/3 position...  your average entry price will be above/below the confirmation price but the whips will be significantly reduced...  this is a method I use for myself very often...
 
Another way to enter a new position is to wait for the actual confirmation on the close, and then take the new position...
 
Rejected Buy/Sell Signals
 
Rejected buy and/or sell signals are typically followed by a sharp market move in the opposite direction the following day, this occurs as a general rule...  a rejected sell signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp rally...  as well, a rejected buy signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp decline...  however, if the sharp rally/decline does not occur, then you can expect to see the market make another attempt at that buy/sell signal...
 
The Long Term (LT) Indicator
 

The long term (LT) indicator is a myriad of indicators that give you an X-ray view of the market internals and trend...

 
The green line = the closing price for the specific market
 
The red line = the confirmation line
 
The purple line = the early warning line
 
The blue line = the imminent warning line
 
The purple and blue lines crossing the red line gives you early and imminent warning of a change in trend direction...
 
 
The email SUGGESTION BOX is always open and invites your ideas for improving and enhancing your email service, I enjoy hearing from you, many thanks...
NOTICE: I SEND OUT AN EMAIL EVERY WEEKDAY EVENING, IF YOU DO NOT RECEIVE ONE, PLEASE LET ME KNOW, THANKS... 

For Thursday, March 27th

The June SP Futures
A BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS can be found at the bottom of every email briefing for your easy quick reference and convenience...
PLEASE TAKE THE TIME TO REVIEW THE TUTORIAL EVERY NOW AND THEN, THESE ARE THE NAVIGATIONAL TOOLS NEEDED TO MANEUVER SAFELY THROUGH THESE MARKETS, A GOOD WORKING KNOWLEDGE OF THESE TOOLS WILL MAKE YOU A BETTER AND MORE INFORMED INVESTOR/TRADER...
The main model is now long the June SP from 1849.00 as of Tuesday, March 25th... 
For the JUNE SP futures, the last trade as of this writing is at 1842.60...
For Thursday, a close below 1840.70 in the June SP futures would confirm a new main model sell signal...  this sell confirmation price is ABOVE where the market closed this afternoon...   the evening session may actually open right there or just below it, prepare to enter the trade position but remember we need a close tomorrow afternoon below this price to confirm it...
 
The NT (Near Term) indicator
The down spike continues and is getting deeper by the day...  this is not encouraging for the bulls at the moment...
The LT (Long Term) indicator
The modest up turn we saw yesterday was short lived...  in fact, early in the morning at the peak of the rally, the blue line just kissed the red line and then fell away as the market sold off...  I thought it was going to be a hello kiss, but instead it was apparently a goodbye kiss...  it seems, there's too much selling pressure to hold this market at the moment...
The following are the current upside VPs for the JUNE SP...  note the MAJOR VP due dates are in close proximity...
minor - - 1879.10
minor - - 1881.70
MAJOR - - 1891.40 and must close below that price on Thursday, April 17th to confirm a new main model sell  signal...
MAJOR - - 1894.30 and must close below that price on Friday, April 18th to confirm a new main model sell signal...
MAJOR - - 1903.60 and must close below that price on Friday, April 18th to confirm a new main model sell signal...
For now, the main model remains long the SP...
The April Gold futures
The main model is short April gold from 1379.90 as of Monday, March 17th...
For the April gold futures, the last trade as of this writing is at 1303.40...
For Thursday, a close above 1346.10 in the April gold contract would confirm a new main model buy signal... 
 
The gold LT indicator
For the past week or so, the purple line was covering up the green price line, but today we can see it more plainly...  gold continued lower, but the purple line is beginning to hold it's own while the blue line still works lower with the price...  remember, the purple line is the early warning line, so this graph is telling us that gold may soon begin to base around these levels...  maybe if it reached the initial major VP, then we could see a more spirited rally, or even a bottom perhaps...
The following are the current downside VPs for April gold...
minor - - 1322.60 (already reached)
minor - - 1313.70 (already reached)
minor - - 1300.00 (already reached)
MAJOR - - 1293.80 and must close above that price on Tuesday, April 29th to confirm a new main model buy signal...
MAJOR - - 1282.70 and must close above that price on Tuesday, April 29th to confirm a new main model buy signal...  NOTICE THE SAME DATES WERE GENERATED FOR BOTH MAJOR VP POINTS...
MAJOR - - 1263.40 and must close above that price on Wednesday, April 30th to confirm a new main model buy signal...  AND THIS MAJOR VP IS SCHEDULED ONLY ONE DAY LATER...
As for now, the main model remains short gold...


BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS:
 
The SP confirmation close ALWAYS refers to the large contract 4:15 pm futures closing price...
 
The NT Indicator
 

The NT indicator is a near term (NT) indicator and is included in the evening briefings for the benefit of those who make counter trend trades... the NT buy and sell spikes are not main model buy and sell signals, these spikes are only very near term, although they could always develop into something more significant over the next few days...  using a weather analogy, the buy/sell spikes are much like a developing low pressure area or a tropical wave, they do not indicate a fully blown hurricane, although it could eventually develop...  if a fully blown hurricane actually does develop, then the main model signal itself would address that market action...

 
How To Read The NT Indicator
 
The best and safest time to take an NT signal is when the market has already trended for some time and is now approaching a VP price, especially a major VP, then the NT spike would indicate that the trend is likely to reverse since the market is already vulnerable at a VP price, the NT spike provides greater certainty for that counter trend trade...
 
The VP Price
The VP, or Vertical Price, is NOT a target, the market is not required or expected to reach any VP price...  however, if reached, the VP price represents where the buying/selling has stretched to its maximum exhaustion point, at least temporarily, and a change in trend is very likely... 
 
How To Read The VP Price
 
If the market touches and then moves away from the VP very quickly and doesn't return, then this more than likely indicates a market reversal, but if the market moves away from the VP and then returns within a day or two, maybe sooner, then the move is not over and the market is likely to continue in its current trend... repeated visits to a VP suggests the move is not yet over... 
 
A Suggestion On How To Enter A Position On A New Main Model Signal
 
One way to enter a new signal trade is to take only 1/3 position only after the market trades through the confirmation price by a few points...  after that initial position is taken, let the market do what it does all day...  then, late in the day, if the market is still confirming the signal, then add the second 1/3 position...  and then, on the close take the final 1/3 position...  your average entry price will be above/below the confirmation price but the whips will be significantly reduced...  this is a method I use for myself very often...
 
Another way to enter a new position is to wait for the actual confirmation on the close, and then take the new position...
 
Rejected Buy/Sell Signals
 
Rejected buy and/or sell signals are typically followed by a sharp market move in the opposite direction the following day, this occurs as a general rule...  a rejected sell signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp rally...  as well, a rejected buy signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp decline...  however, if the sharp rally/decline does not occur, then you can expect to see the market make another attempt at that buy/sell signal...
 
The Long Term (LT) Indicator
 

The long term (LT) indicator is a myriad of indicators that give you an X-ray view of the market internals and trend...

 
The green line = the closing price for the specific market
 
The red line = the confirmation line
 
The purple line = the early warning line
 
The blue line = the imminent warning line
 
The purple and blue lines crossing the red line gives you early and imminent warning of a change in trend direction...
 
 
The email SUGGESTION BOX is always open and invites your ideas for improving and enhancing your email service, I enjoy hearing from you, many thanks...
NOTICE: I SEND OUT AN EMAIL EVERY WEEKDAY EVENING, IF YOU DO NOT RECEIVE ONE, PLEASE LET ME KNOW, THANKS... 

For Wednesday, March 26th

The June SP Futures
A BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS can be found at the bottom of every email briefing for your easy quick reference and convenience...
PLEASE TAKE THE TIME TO REVIEW THE TUTORIAL EVERY NOW AND THEN, THESE ARE THE NAVIGATIONAL TOOLS NEEDED TO MANEUVER SAFELY THROUGH THESE MARKETS, A GOOD WORKING KNOWLEDGE OF THESE TOOLS WILL MAKE YOU A BETTER AND MORE INFORMED INVESTOR/TRADER...
The main model is now long the June SP from 1849.00 as of Tuesday, March 25th... 
For the JUNE SP futures, the last trade as of this writing is at 1859.10...
For Wednesday, a close below 1840.80 in the June SP futures would confirm a new main model sell signal... 
 
The NT (Near Term) indicator
We can see a modest up turn in the indicator as of today's close...  we need to see this develop into something more substantial tomorrow...
The LT (Long Term) indicator
We can also see up turns in both the purple and blue lines today...  a close tomorrow above 1864.30 would take the blue line above the red line...  so now, we have something to root for...
The following are the current upside VPs for the JUNE SP...  note the MAJOR VP due dates are in close proximity...
minor - - 1879.10
minor - - 1881.70
MAJOR - - 1891.40 and must close below that price on Thursday, April 17th to confirm a new main model sell  signal...
MAJOR - - 1894.30 and must close below that price on Friday, April 18th to confirm a new main model sell signal...
MAJOR - - 1903.60 and must close below that price on Friday, April 18th to confirm a new main model sell signal...
For now, the main model remains long the SP...
The April Gold futures
The main model is short April gold from 1379.90 as of Monday, March 17th...
For the April gold futures, the last trade as of this writing is at 1312.30...
The gold market has been flirting with a cluster of minor VPs at current levels...  we also have a major VP just below 1300...
For Wednesday, a close above 1360.20 in the April gold contract would confirm a new main model buy signal... 
 
The gold LT indicator
Today, we can see another modest up turn in the two key lines, but we saw such an up turn just two days ago only to be followed by another subsequent hard down day...  we need something more encouraging than an up turn as modest as these...  meanwhile, I'm staying short both gold and silver...
The following are the current downside VPs for April gold...
minor - - 1322.60 (already reached)
minor - - 1313.70 (already reached)
minor - - 1300.00
MAJOR - - 1293.80 and must close above that price on Tuesday, April 29th to confirm a new main model buy signal...
MAJOR - - 1282.70 and must close above that price on Tuesday, April 29th to confirm a new main model buy signal...  NOTICE THE SAME DATES WERE GENERATED FOR BOTH MAJOR VP POINTS...
MAJOR - - 1263.40 and must close above that price on Wednesday, April 30th to confirm a new main model buy signal...  AND THIS MAJOR VP IS SCHEDULED ONLY ONE DAY LATER...
As for now, the main model remains short gold...


BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS:
 
The SP confirmation close ALWAYS refers to the large contract 4:15 pm futures closing price...
 
The NT Indicator
 

The NT indicator is a near term (NT) indicator and is included in the evening briefings for the benefit of those who make counter trend trades... the NT buy and sell spikes are not main model buy and sell signals, these spikes are only very near term, although they could always develop into something more significant over the next few days...  using a weather analogy, the buy/sell spikes are much like a developing low pressure area or a tropical wave, they do not indicate a fully blown hurricane, although it could eventually develop...  if a fully blown hurricane actually does develop, then the main model signal itself would address that market action...

 
How To Read The NT Indicator
 
The best and safest time to take an NT signal is when the market has already trended for some time and is now approaching a VP price, especially a major VP, then the NT spike would indicate that the trend is likely to reverse since the market is already vulnerable at a VP price, the NT spike provides greater certainty for that counter trend trade...
 
The VP Price
The VP, or Vertical Price, is NOT a target, the market is not required or expected to reach any VP price...  however, if reached, the VP price represents where the buying/selling has stretched to its maximum exhaustion point, at least temporarily, and a change in trend is very likely... 
 
How To Read The VP Price
 
If the market touches and then moves away from the VP very quickly and doesn't return, then this more than likely indicates a market reversal, but if the market moves away from the VP and then returns within a day or two, maybe sooner, then the move is not over and the market is likely to continue in its current trend... repeated visits to a VP suggests the move is not yet over... 
 
A Suggestion On How To Enter A Position On A New Main Model Signal
 
One way to enter a new signal trade is to take only 1/3 position only after the market trades through the confirmation price by a few points...  after that initial position is taken, let the market do what it does all day...  then, late in the day, if the market is still confirming the signal, then add the second 1/3 position...  and then, on the close take the final 1/3 position...  your average entry price will be above/below the confirmation price but the whips will be significantly reduced...  this is a method I use for myself very often...
 
Another way to enter a new position is to wait for the actual confirmation on the close, and then take the new position...
 
Rejected Buy/Sell Signals
 
Rejected buy and/or sell signals are typically followed by a sharp market move in the opposite direction the following day, this occurs as a general rule...  a rejected sell signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp rally...  as well, a rejected buy signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp decline...  however, if the sharp rally/decline does not occur, then you can expect to see the market make another attempt at that buy/sell signal...
 
The Long Term (LT) Indicator
 

The long term (LT) indicator is a myriad of indicators that give you an X-ray view of the market internals and trend...

 
The green line = the closing price for the specific market
 
The red line = the confirmation line
 
The purple line = the early warning line
 
The blue line = the imminent warning line
 
The purple and blue lines crossing the red line gives you early and imminent warning of a change in trend direction...
 
 
The email SUGGESTION BOX is always open and invites your ideas for improving and enhancing your email service, I enjoy hearing from you, many thanks...
NOTICE: I SEND OUT AN EMAIL EVERY WEEKDAY EVENING, IF YOU DO NOT RECEIVE ONE, PLEASE LET ME KNOW, THANKS... 

For Tuesday, March 25th

The June SP Futures
A BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS can be found at the bottom of every email briefing for your easy quick reference and convenience...
PLEASE TAKE THE TIME TO REVIEW THE TUTORIAL EVERY NOW AND THEN, THESE ARE THE NAVIGATIONAL TOOLS NEEDED TO MANEUVER SAFELY THROUGH THESE MARKETS, A GOOD WORKING KNOWLEDGE OF THESE TOOLS WILL MAKE YOU A BETTER AND MORE INFORMED INVESTOR/TRADER...
The main model is Continue reading

For Monday, March 24th

The June SP Futures
A BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS can be found at the bottom of every email briefing for your easy quick reference and convenience...
PLEASE TAKE THE TIME TO REVIEW THE TUTORIAL EVERY NOW AND THEN, THESE ARE THE NAVIGATIONAL TOOLS NEEDED TO MANEUVER SAFELY THROUGH THESE MARKETS, A GOOD WORKING KNOWLEDGE OF THESE TOOLS WILL MAKE YOU A BETTER AND MORE INFORMED INVESTOR/TRADER...
The main model is Continue reading

For Friday, March 21st

The June SP Futures
A BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS can be found at the bottom of every email briefing for your easy quick reference and convenience...
PLEASE TAKE THE TIME TO REVIEW THE TUTORIAL EVERY NOW AND THEN, THESE ARE THE NAVIGATIONAL TOOLS NEEDED TO MANEUVER SAFELY THROUGH THESE MARKETS, A GOOD WORKING KNOWLEDGE OF THESE TOOLS WILL MAKE YOU A BETTER AND MORE INFORMED INVESTOR/TRADER...
The main model is now long the June SP from 1863.40 as of Thursday, March 20th...
So, that was a wash for a day...
For the JUNE SP futures, the last trade as of this writing is at 1866.40...
For Friday, a close below 1864.40 in the June SP futures would confirm a new main model sell signal...
 
A personal note:
 
I realize the model has been punching out more than typical buy and sell signals recently, clearly this is the main model's measurement of the market's indecision, but the main model is designed such that it will not allow us to get left behind when the market finally makes its move, this is regardless of which direction it finally goes...  you don't want to be long this market when it traded down to the 1844.00 level last night and it could have kept going lower today...    and as well, you don't want to remain short if this market decides to gap higher tomorrow morning and squeeze those who took short positions today...  following an automatic trading model requires patience and discipline, and absolutely no thinking required...  thinking and second guessing will only put you into a losing position...  end of lecture...
 
The NT (Near Term) indicator
Today, the NT continues higher, but no sell spike...    that was definitely a solid buy spike the other day, and just when it looked like the world was coming to an end...
The LT (Long Term) indicator
The main model has a confirmed buy signal today and this was also confirmed with the blue line crossing above the red line and with the red line actually turning higher by a minimal amount...  maybe now, the battle is over and the bulls can stage a rally...
The following are the current upside VPs for the JUNE SP...
minor - - 1881.70
MAJOR - - 1891.40 and must close below that price on Thursday, April 16th to confirm a new main model sell  signal...
MAJOR - - 1903.60 and must close below that price on Friday, April 18th to confirm a new main model sell signal...
For now, the main model remains long the SP...
The April Gold futures
The main model is short April gold from 1379.90 as of Monday, March 17th...
For the April gold futures, the last trade as of this writing is at 1328.70...
For Friday, a close above 1367.70 in the April gold contract would confirm a new main model buy signal... 
 
The gold LT indicator
Still working lower...  although, the initial minor downside VP was reached today and the market did rally from that level, as it so typically reacts to the VP points...  so now, we watch to see if this modest rally continues tomorrow or if the market would return to that minor VP...  a return to that minor VP would suggest a continuation of the selling...
Here's a chart of the April gold since it made its major low on December 31st...  that support line coincides with the minor VP, so we should see a rally from here if this market is still alive...
The following are the current downside VPs for April gold...
minor - - 1322.60 (already reached)
minor - - 1313.70
minor - - 1300.00
MAJOR - - 1293.80 and must close above that price on Tuesday, April 29th to confirm a new main model buy signal...
MAJOR - - 1282.70 and must close above that price on Tuesday, April 29th to confirm a new main model buy signal...  NOTICE THE SAME DATES WERE GENERATED FOR BOTH MAJOR VP POINTS...
MAJOR - - 1263.40 and must close above that price on Wednesday, April 30th to confirm a new main model buy signal...  AND THIS MAJOR VP IS SCHEDULED ONLY ONE DAY LATER...
As for now, the main model remains short gold...


BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS:
 
The SP confirmation close ALWAYS refers to the large contract 4:15 pm futures closing price...
 
The NT Indicator
 

The NT indicator is a near term (NT) indicator and is included in the evening briefings for the benefit of those who make counter trend trades... the NT buy and sell spikes are not main model buy and sell signals, these spikes are only very near term, although they could always develop into something more significant over the next few days...  using a weather analogy, the buy/sell spikes are much like a developing low pressure area or a tropical wave, they do not indicate a fully blown hurricane, although it could eventually develop...  if a fully blown hurricane actually does develop, then the main model signal itself would address that market action...

 
How To Read The NT Indicator
 
The best and safest time to take an NT signal is when the market has already trended for some time and is now approaching a VP price, especially a major VP, then the NT spike would indicate that the trend is likely to reverse since the market is already vulnerable at a VP price, the NT spike provides greater certainty for that counter trend trade...
 
The VP Price
The VP, or Vertical Price, is NOT a target, the market is not required or expected to reach any VP price...  however, if reached, the VP price represents where the buying/selling has stretched to its maximum exhaustion point, at least temporarily, and a change in trend is very likely... 
 
How To Read The VP Price
 
If the market touches and then moves away from the VP very quickly and doesn't return, then this more than likely indicates a market reversal, but if the market moves away from the VP and then returns within a day or two, maybe sooner, then the move is not over and the market is likely to continue in its current trend... repeated visits to a VP suggests the move is not yet over... 
 
A Suggestion On How To Enter A Position On A New Main Model Signal
 
One way to enter a new signal trade is to take only 1/3 position only after the market trades through the confirmation price by a few points...  after that initial position is taken, let the market do what it does all day...  then, late in the day, if the market is still confirming the signal, then add the second 1/3 position...  and then, on the close take the final 1/3 position...  your average entry price will be above/below the confirmation price but the whips will be significantly reduced...  this is a method I use for myself very often...
 
Another way to enter a new position is to wait for the actual confirmation on the close, and then take the new position...
 
Rejected Buy/Sell Signals
 
Rejected buy and/or sell signals are typically followed by a sharp market move in the opposite direction the following day, this occurs as a general rule...  a rejected sell signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp rally...  as well, a rejected buy signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp decline...  however, if the sharp rally/decline does not occur, then you can expect to see the market make another attempt at that buy/sell signal...
 
The Long Term (LT) Indicator
 

The long term (LT) indicator is a myriad of indicators that give you an X-ray view of the market internals and trend...

 
The green line = the closing price for the specific market
 
The red line = the confirmation line
 
The purple line = the early warning line
 
The blue line = the imminent warning line
 
The purple and blue lines crossing the red line gives you early and imminent warning of a change in trend direction...
 
 
The email SUGGESTION BOX is always open and invites your ideas for improving and enhancing your email service, I enjoy hearing from you, many thanks...
NOTICE: I SEND OUT AN EMAIL EVERY WEEKDAY EVENING, IF YOU DO NOT RECEIVE ONE, PLEASE LET ME KNOW, THANKS... 

For Thursday, March 20th

The June SP Futures
A BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS can be found at the bottom of every email briefing for your easy quick reference and convenience...
PLEASE TAKE THE TIME TO REVIEW THE TUTORIAL EVERY NOW AND THEN, THESE ARE THE NAVIGATIONAL TOOLS NEEDED TO MANEUVER SAFELY THROUGH THESE MARKETS, A GOOD WORKING KNOWLEDGE OF THESE TOOLS WILL MAKE YOU A BETTER AND MORE INFORMED INVESTOR/TRADER...
The main model is now short the June SP from 1863.30 as of Wednesday, March 19th...
For the JUNE SP futures, the last trade as of this writing is at 1849.90...
For Thursday, a close above 1863.40 in the June SP futures would confirm a new main model buy signal...
 
The NT (Near Term) indicator
Today, the NT continues higher, but no sell spike...
The LT (Long Term) indicator
As bullish as the LT looked yesterday, we have a main model sell signal today AND the blue line also crossed downward through the red line...  yes, it has been choppy, and as choppy as this market has been in recent days, very clearly this is a tug of war between the bulls and the bears, but this market is not going to continue sideways for long...  and as frustrating as it can be, I suggest simply following the signals as they appear...  this is the nature of system signal trading... I heard from a number of my subscribers yesterday and the day before about how shorting the gold market was dangerous...  respectfully, this is the difference between thinking about these markets and merely following the signals without second guessing...  since the signal just two days ago, the gold market has all but collapsed...
The following are the current downside VPs for the JUNE SP...
minor - - 1822.70
MAJOR - - 1801.40 and must close above that price on Friday, April 11th to confirm a new main model buy signal...
MAJOR - - 1731.00 and must close above that price on Friday, April 25th to confirm a new main model buy signal...
minor - - 1772.60
minor - - 1714.20
MAJOR - - 1650.30 and must close above that price on Tuesday,June 3rd to confirm a new main model buy signal...
For now, the main model remains short the SP...
The April Gold futures
The main model is short April gold from 1379.90 as of Monday, March 17th...
For the April gold futures, the last trade as of this writing is at 1328.50...
For Thursday, a close above 1367.70 in the April gold contract would confirm a new main model buy signal... 
 
The gold LT indicator
Here's the gold LT for today, we can see how nicely the market is accommodating our short position...  maybe some day the SP will do the same...  my hunch is that it will...
The following are the current downside VPs for April gold...
minor - - 1322.60
minor - - 1313.70
minor - - 1300.00
MAJOR - - 1293.80 and must close above that price on Tuesday, April 29th to confirm a new main model buy signal...
MAJOR - - 1282.70 and must close above that price on Tuesday, April 29th to confirm a new main model buy signal...  NOTICE THE SAME DATES WERE GENERATED FOR BOTH MAJOR VP POINTS...
MAJOR - - 1263.40 and must close above that price on Wednesday, April 30th to confirm a new main model buy signal...  AND THIS MAJOR VP IS SCHEDULED ONLY ONE DAY LATER...
As for now, the main model remains short gold...


BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS:
 
The SP confirmation close ALWAYS refers to the large contract 4:15 pm futures closing price...
 
The NT Indicator
 

The NT indicator is a near term (NT) indicator and is included in the evening briefings for the benefit of those who make counter trend trades... the NT buy and sell spikes are not main model buy and sell signals, these spikes are only very near term, although they could always develop into something more significant over the next few days...  using a weather analogy, the buy/sell spikes are much like a developing low pressure area or a tropical wave, they do not indicate a fully blown hurricane, although it could eventually develop...  if a fully blown hurricane actually does develop, then the main model signal itself would address that market action...

 
How To Read The NT Indicator
 
The best and safest time to take an NT signal is when the market has already trended for some time and is now approaching a VP price, especially a major VP, then the NT spike would indicate that the trend is likely to reverse since the market is already vulnerable at a VP price, the NT spike provides greater certainty for that counter trend trade...
 
The VP Price
The VP, or Vertical Price, is NOT a target, the market is not required or expected to reach any VP price...  however, if reached, the VP price represents where the buying/selling has stretched to its maximum exhaustion point, at least temporarily, and a change in trend is very likely... 
 
How To Read The VP Price
 
If the market touches and then moves away from the VP very quickly and doesn't return, then this more than likely indicates a market reversal, but if the market moves away from the VP and then returns within a day or two, maybe sooner, then the move is not over and the market is likely to continue in its current trend... repeated visits to a VP suggests the move is not yet over... 
 
A Suggestion On How To Enter A Position On A New Main Model Signal
 
One way to enter a new signal trade is to take only 1/3 position only after the market trades through the confirmation price by a few points...  after that initial position is taken, let the market do what it does all day...  then, late in the day, if the market is still confirming the signal, then add the second 1/3 position...  and then, on the close take the final 1/3 position...  your average entry price will be above/below the confirmation price but the whips will be significantly reduced...  this is a method I use for myself very often...
 
Another way to enter a new position is to wait for the actual confirmation on the close, and then take the new position...
 
Rejected Buy/Sell Signals
 
Rejected buy and/or sell signals are typically followed by a sharp market move in the opposite direction the following day, this occurs as a general rule...  a rejected sell signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp rally...  as well, a rejected buy signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp decline...  however, if the sharp rally/decline does not occur, then you can expect to see the market make another attempt at that buy/sell signal...
 
The Long Term (LT) Indicator
 

The long term (LT) indicator is a myriad of indicators that give you an X-ray view of the market internals and trend...

 
The green line = the closing price for the specific market
 
The red line = the confirmation line
 
The purple line = the early warning line
 
The blue line = the imminent warning line
 
The purple and blue lines crossing the red line gives you early and imminent warning of a change in trend direction...
 
 
The email SUGGESTION BOX is always open and invites your ideas for improving and enhancing your email service, I enjoy hearing from you, many thanks...
NOTICE: I SEND OUT AN EMAIL EVERY WEEKDAY EVENING, IF YOU DO NOT RECEIVE ONE, PLEASE LET ME KNOW, THANKS... 

For Wednesday, March 19th

The June SP Futures
A BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS can be found at the bottom of every email briefing for your easy quick reference and convenience...
The main model is now long the June SP from 1850.70 as of Tuesday, March 18th...
For the JUNE SP futures, the last trade as of this writing is at 1864.40...
For Wednesday, a close below 1863.30 in the June SP futures would confirm a new main model sell signal...
 
The NT (Near Term) indicator
Today, the NT continued yesterday's buy spike...
The LT (Long Term) indicator
This may look messy at first, but you will see I circled the previous 6 major rallies, all of which began with a sharp up spike with the purple and blue lines crossing the red line...  this occurred today along with a confirmed main model buy signal...  one can only expect to see a rally resume from here...
The following are the current upside VPs for the JUNE SP...
minor - - 1881.70
MAJOR - - 1891.40 and must close below that price on Thursday, April 16th to confirm a new main model sell  signal...
MAJOR - - 1903.60 and must close below that price on Friday, April 18th to confirm a new main model sell signal...
For now, the main model remains long the SP...
The April Gold futures
The main model is now short April gold from 1379.90 as of Monday, March 17th...
For the April gold futures, the last trade as of this writing is at 1356.10...
For Wednesday, a close above 1367.70 in the April gold contract would confirm a new main model buy signal... 
 
The gold LT indicator
Here is the inverse of the SP LT...  I've circled the previous 4 tops in this market, the current pattern looks very similar, so we could expect to see the gold market work lower from here...  meanwhile, our reverse buy confirmation price is there, just in case...
The following are the current downside VPs for April gold...
minor - - 1322.60
minor - - 1313.70
minor - - 1300.00
MAJOR - - 1293.80 and must close above that price on Tuesday, April 29th to confirm a new main model buy signal...
MAJOR - - 1282.70 and must close above that price on Tuesday, April 29th to confirm a new main model buy signal...  NOTICE THE SAME DATES WERE GENERATED FOR BOTH MAJOR VP POINTS...
MAJOR - - 1263.40 and must close above that price on Wednesday, April 30th to confirm a new main model buy signal...  AND THIS MAJOR VP IS SCHEDULED ONLY ONE DAY LATER...
As for now, the main model remains short gold...


BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS:
 
The SP confirmation close ALWAYS refers to the large contract 4:15 pm futures closing price...
 
The NT Indicator
 

The NT indicator is a near term (NT) indicator and is included in the evening briefings for the benefit of those who make counter trend trades... the NT buy and sell spikes are not main model buy and sell signals, these spikes are only very near term, although they could always develop into something more significant over the next few days...  using a weather analogy, the buy/sell spikes are much like a developing low pressure area or a tropical wave, they do not indicate a fully blown hurricane, although it could eventually develop...  if a fully blown hurricane actually does develop, then the main model signal itself would address that market action...

 
How To Read The NT Indicator
 
The best and safest time to take an NT signal is when the market has already trended for some time and is now approaching a VP price, especially a major VP, then the NT spike would indicate that the trend is likely to reverse since the market is already vulnerable at a VP price, the NT spike provides greater certainty for that counter trend trade...
 
The VP Price
The VP, or Vertical Price, is NOT a target, the market is not required or expected to reach any VP price...  however, if reached, the VP price represents where the buying/selling has stretched to its maximum exhaustion point, at least temporarily, and a change in trend is very likely... 
 
How To Read The VP Price
 
If the market touches and then moves away from the VP very quickly and doesn't return, then this more than likely indicates a market reversal, but if the market moves away from the VP and then returns within a day or two, maybe sooner, then the move is not over and the market is likely to continue in its current trend... repeated visits to a VP suggests the move is not yet over... 
 
A Suggestion On How To Enter A Position On A New Main Model Signal
 
One way to enter a new signal trade is to take only 1/3 position only after the market trades through the confirmation price by a few points...  after that initial position is taken, let the market do what it does all day...  then, late in the day, if the market is still confirming the signal, then add the second 1/3 position...  and then, on the close take the final 1/3 position...  your average entry price will be above/below the confirmation price but the whips will be significantly reduced...  this is a method I use for myself very often...
 
Another way to enter a new position is to wait for the actual confirmation on the close, and then take the new position...
 
Rejected Buy/Sell Signals
 
Rejected buy and/or sell signals are typically followed by a sharp market move in the opposite direction the following day, this occurs as a general rule...  a rejected sell signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp rally...  as well, a rejected buy signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp decline...  however, if the sharp rally/decline does not occur, then you can expect to see the market make another attempt at that buy/sell signal...
 
The Long Term (LT) Indicator
 

The long term (LT) indicator is a myriad of indicators that give you an X-ray view of the market internals and trend...

 
The green line = the closing price for the specific market
 
The red line = the confirmation line
 
The purple line = the early warning line
 
The blue line = the imminent warning line
 
The purple and blue lines crossing the red line gives you early and imminent warning of a change in trend direction...
 
 
The email SUGGESTION BOX is always open and invites your ideas for improving and enhancing your email service, I enjoy hearing from you, many thanks...
NOTICE: I SEND OUT AN EMAIL EVERY WEEKDAY EVENING, IF YOU DO NOT RECEIVE ONE, PLEASE LET ME KNOW, THANKS... 

For Tuesday, March 18th

The June SP Futures
A BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS can be found at the bottom of every email briefing for your easy quick reference and convenience...
The main model is now short the March SP from 1869.00 as of Tuesday, March 11th...  since the March market is getting thin, you could always roll into June at your convenience...

For the JUNE SP futures, the last trade as of this writing is at 1851.10...
For Tuesday, a close above 1850.70 in the June SP futures would confirm a new main model buy signal...
 
The NT (Near Term) indicator
Today, the NT gave us a buy spike in relatively oversold territory...  for aggressive traders, a buy could be executed in this evening's session...  although this is not a main model buy signal...
Here's another look at this buy spike...
The LT (Long Term) indicator
Here, you can see the SP LT indicator also gave us a buy spike, but has not crossed above the red line quite yet...  what one should notice here is that both the blue and purple lines have taken a sharp upward move, this is suggestive of a possible bottom...  if you notice, all the previous sharp upward thrusts occurred in advance of a significant low...  we may well be looking at the same phenomenon once again...  Friday's LT indicator can be seen below today's pattern so you can compare the two...
Last night's low came very close to the first minor VP, but that was enough to trigger a solid rally for today...  this is also suggestive of a market with strength, that it could muster a rally after merely approaching a minor VP...  but, we'll see what tomorrow brings...
The following are the current downside VPs for the JUNE SP...
minor - - 1822.70
MAJOR - - 1801.40 and must close above that price on Friday, April 11th to confirm a new main model buy signal...
MAJOR - - 1731.00 and must close above that price on Friday, April 25th to confirm a new main model buy signal...
minor - - 1772.60
minor - - 1714.20
MAJOR - - 1650.30 and must close above that price on Tuesday,June 3rd to confirm a new main model buy signal...
For now, the main model remains short the SP...
The April Gold futures
The main model is now short April gold from 1379.90 as of Monday, March 17th...
For the April gold futures, the last trade as of this writing is at 1367.40...
We had two major overhead VPs, one at 1367.70 and another at 1369.10...  the market rallied well above both of those two VP prices, but is now below them on today's close...  even with a powerful rally in this gold market, the VP points still maintained their grip on the rally and pull the market down today...  as I've said so many times before, these VP prices cannot be dismissed too quickly, they will stop a rally dead in it tracks...
For Tuesday, a close above 1367.70 in the April gold contract would confirm a new main model buy signal... 
 
The gold LT indicator
Here, you can see the gold LT indicator...  what a difference a day makes, 24 little hours...  directly below, you can see the gold's LT picture for today with Friday's LT below that...  very clearly, and simultaneously with the main model signal, the blue line has crossed downward below the red line...
 
The following are the current downside VPs for April gold...
minor - - 1300.00
minor - - 1313.70
minor - - 1322.60
MAJOR - - 1293.80 and must close above that price on Tuesday, April 29th to confirm a new main model buy signal...
MAJOR - - 1282.70 and must close above that price on Tuesday, April 29th to confirm a new main model buy signal...  NOTICE THE SAME DATES WERE GENERATED FOR BOTH MAJOR VP POINTS...
MAJOR - - 1263.40 and must close above that price on Wednesday, April 30th to confirm a new main model buy signal...  AND THIS MAJOR VP IS SCHEDULED ONLY ONE DAY LATER...
As for now, the main model remains short gold...


BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS:
 
The SP confirmation close ALWAYS refers to the large contract 4:15 pm futures closing price...
 
The NT Indicator
 

The NT indicator is a near term (NT) indicator and is included in the evening briefings for the benefit of those who make counter trend trades... the NT buy and sell spikes are not main model buy and sell signals, these spikes are only very near term, although they could always develop into something more significant over the next few days...  using a weather analogy, the buy/sell spikes are much like a developing low pressure area or a tropical wave, they do not indicate a fully blown hurricane, although it could eventually develop...  if a fully blown hurricane actually does develop, then the main model signal itself would address that market action...

 
How To Read The NT Indicator
 
The best and safest time to take an NT signal is when the market has already trended for some time and is now approaching a VP price, especially a major VP, then the NT spike would indicate that the trend is likely to reverse since the market is already vulnerable at a VP price, the NT spike provides greater certainty for that counter trend trade...
 
The VP Price
The VP, or Vertical Price, is NOT a target, the market is not required or expected to reach any VP price...  however, if reached, the VP price represents where the buying/selling has stretched to its maximum exhaustion point, at least temporarily, and a change in trend is very likely... 
 
How To Read The VP Price
 
If the market touches and then moves away from the VP very quickly and doesn't return, then this more than likely indicates a market reversal, but if the market moves away from the VP and then returns within a day or two, maybe sooner, then the move is not over and the market is likely to continue in its current trend... repeated visits to a VP suggests the move is not yet over... 
 
A Suggestion On How To Enter A Position On A New Main Model Signal
 
One way to enter a new signal trade is to take only 1/3 position only after the market trades through the confirmation price by a few points...  after that initial position is taken, let the market do what it does all day...  then, late in the day, if the market is still confirming the signal, then add the second 1/3 position...  and then, on the close take the final 1/3 position...  your average entry price will be above/below the confirmation price but the whips will be significantly reduced...  this is a method I use for myself very often...
 
Another way to enter a new position is to wait for the actual confirmation on the close, and then take the new position...
 
Rejected Buy/Sell Signals
 
Rejected buy and/or sell signals are typically followed by a sharp market move in the opposite direction the following day, this occurs as a general rule...  a rejected sell signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp rally...  as well, a rejected buy signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp decline...  however, if the sharp rally/decline does not occur, then you can expect to see the market make another attempt at that buy/sell signal...
 
The Long Term (LT) Indicator
 

The long term (LT) indicator is a myriad of indicators that give you an X-ray view of the market internals and trend...

 
The green line = the closing price for the specific market
 
The red line = the confirmation line
 
The purple line = the early warning line
 
The blue line = the imminent warning line
 
The purple and blue lines crossing the red line gives you early and imminent warning of a change in trend direction...
 
 
The email SUGGESTION BOX is always open and invites your ideas for improving and enhancing your email service, I enjoy hearing from you, many thanks...
NOTICE: I SEND OUT AN EMAIL EVERY WEEKDAY EVENING, IF YOU DO NOT RECEIVE ONE, PLEASE LET ME KNOW, THANKS... 

For Monday, March 17th

The March SP Futures
A BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS can be found at the bottom of every email briefing for your easy quick reference and convenience...
The main model is now short the March SP from 1869.00 as of Tuesday, March 11th...

For the March SP futures, the last trade as of this writing is at 1839.90...
For Monday, a close above 1887.10 in the March SP futures would confirm a new main model buy signal...
 
Most likely, by this weekend I'll roll into the June SP contract since March will be going off the board in another week or so, therefore all the VP prices will also be changed over to the June contract...

 
The NT indicator
We can see the NT indicator still moving lower and now into well oversold territory, but with no buy spike yet...  at some point we'll have a buy spike...  you can actually draw a trend support line at the two previous lowest points...  my hunch is that we'll see the spike somewhere around there...
The LT indicator
Here, you can see the SP LT indicator...  it's moving deeper into the oversold zone, but no spike...  even with a spike, we would need the blue line to cross above the red line to turn this trend higher again...  this could take some time since the red line is also moving lower, this is not an encouraging sign for those long this market right now...
The following are the current downside VPs for the March SP...
minor - - 1812.00
minor - - 1796.00
MAJOR - - 1780.90 and must close above that price on Monday, April 21st to confirm a new main model buy signal...
MAJOR - - 1757.40 and must close above that price on Friday, April 25th to confirm a new main model buy signal...
minor - - 1721.30
MAJOR - - 1653.10 and must close above that price on Tuesday,June 10th to confirm a new main model buy signal...
For now, the main model remains short the SP...
The April Gold futures
The main model is long April gold from 1267.10 as of Monday, February 10th...
For the April gold futures, the last trade as of this writing is at 1382.40...
For Monday, a close below 1379.90 in the April gold contract would confirm a new main model sell signal... 
 
The gold LT indicator
Here, you can see the gold LT indicator...  all lines are moving higher, all systems are go for this market to continue higher despite a pause and/or pull back along the way...
The following are the current upside VPs for April gold...
minor - - 1356.50
MAJOR - - 1358.70 (already reached) and must close below that price on Wednesday, March 19th to confirm a new main model sell signal...
MAJOR - - 1369.10 (already reached) and must close below that price on Tuesday, March 25th to confirm a new main model sell signal...
As for now, the main model remains long gold...


BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS:
 
The SP confirmation close ALWAYS refers to the large contract 4:15 pm futures closing price...
 
The NT Indicator
 

The NT indicator is a near term (NT) indicator and is included in the evening briefings for the benefit of those who make counter trend trades... the NT buy and sell spikes are not main model buy and sell signals, these spikes are only very near term, although they could always develop into something more significant over the next few days...  using a weather analogy, the buy/sell spikes are much like a developing low pressure area or a tropical wave, they do not indicate a fully blown hurricane, although it could eventually develop...  if a fully blown hurricane actually does develop, then the main model signal itself would address that market action...

 
How To Read The NT Indicator
 
The best and safest time to take an NT signal is when the market has already trended for some time and is now approaching a VP price, then the NT spike would indicate that the trend is likely to reverse since the market is already vulnerable at a VP price, the NT spike provides greater certainty for that counter trend trade...
 
The VP Price
The VP, or Vertical Price, is NOT a target, the market is not required or expected to reach any VP price...  however, if reached, the VP price represents where the buying/selling has stretched to maximum exhaustion point, at least temporarily, and a change in trend is very likely... 
 
How To Read The VP Price
 
If the market touches and then moves away from the VP very quickly and doesn't return, then this more than likely indicates a market reversal, but if the market moves away from the VP and then returns within a day or two, maybe sooner, then the move is not over and the market is likely to continue in its current trend... repeated visits to a VP suggests the move is not yet over... 
 
A Suggestion On How To Enter A Position On A New Main Model Signal
 
One way to enter a new signal trade is to take only 1/3 position only after the market trades through the confirmation price by a few points...  after that initial position is taken, let the market do what it does all day...  then, late in the day, if the market is still confirming the signal, then add the second 1/3 position...  and then, on the close take the final 1/3 position...  your average entry price will be above/below the confirmation price but the whips will be significantly reduced...  this is a method I use for myself very often...
 
Another way to enter a new position is to wait for the actual confirmation on the close, and then take the new position...
 
Rejected Buy/Sell Signals
 
Rejected buy and/or sell signals are typically followed by a sharp market move in the opposite direction the following day, this occurs as a general rule...  a rejected sell signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp rally...  as well, a rejected buy signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp decline...  however, if the sharp rally/decline does not occur, then you can expect to see the market make another attempt at that buy/sell signal...
 
The Long Term (LT) Indicator
 

The long term (LT) indicator is a myriad of indicators that give you an X-ray view of the market internals and trend...

 
The green line = the closing price for the specific market
 
The red line = the confirmation line
 
The purple line = the early warning line
 
The blue line = the imminent warning line
 
The purple and blue lines crossing the red line gives you early and imminent warning of a change in trend direction...
 
 
The email SUGGESTION BOX is always open and invites your ideas for improving and enhancing your email service, I enjoy hearing from you, many thanks...
NOTICE: I SEND OUT AN EMAIL EVERY WEEKDAY EVENING, IF YOU DO NOT RECEIVE ONE, PLEASE LET ME KNOW, THANKS... 

For Friday, March 14th

The March SP Futures

A BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS can be found at the bottom of every email briefing for your easy quick reference and convenience...
The main model is now short the March SP from 1869.00 as of Tuesday, March 11th...

For the March SP futures, the last trade as of this writing is at 1846.90...
The main model is nailing this market!!!

For Thursday, a close above 1888.00 in the March SP futures would confirm a new main model buy signal...
 
Most likely, by this weekend I'll roll into the June SP contract since March will be going off the board in another week or so...

 
The NT indicator
Directly below are two different views of the NT indicator...  the NY sell spike we had on Tuesday worked today like a charm, we had a main model sell signal confirmation that same day...  this indicator appears to be moving into oversold territory quickly...  we could see a buy spike tomorrow or Monday... but with the kind of technical damage the market incurred today, any rally could only be a bear bounce...  but, who knows, we'll see, we'll jump from that bridge when we get to it...  LOL!!!
The LT indicator
Here, you can see the SP LT indicator showing how the market rolled over pretty well today...  it will take some time before these purple and blue lines can recover above the red line...  in fact, the red line itself has now turned downward suggesting further that this current move lower could last for some time...  most all of the previous times when the red line turned downward, the market had some distance to go before a legitimate bottom was found...  but, again, we'll see...
The following are the current downside VPs for the March SP...
minor - - 1812.00
minor - - 1796.00
MAJOR - - 1780.90 and must close above that price on Monday, April 21st to confirm a new main model buy signal...
MAJOR - - 1757.40 and must close above that price on Friday, April 25th to confirm a new main model buy signal...
minor - - 1721.30
MAJOR - - 1653.10 and must close above that price on Tuesday,June 10th to confirm a new main model buy signal...
For now, the main model remains short the SP...
The April Gold futures
The main model is long April gold from 1267.10 as of Monday, February 10th...
For the April gold futures, the last trade as of this writing is at 1372.30...
For Thursday, a close below 1329.90 in the April gold contract would confirm a new main model sell signal... 
 
The gold LT indicator
We can see the red line moving higher as price (green line) also moved higher today, yet the blue line ticked lower today...  the gold market is now hanging around the highest major VP, so selling should be expected, but as shown on the bar chart yesterday, gold has apparently broken out as of yesterday, so one day of rest after yesterday's huge rally is to be expected...  certainly, the miners had another very good day today...  they seem to lead the way in both directions, so I'm still very comfortable holding my long positions in both gold and in the mining stocks...  I suspect this market has only begun a sincere rally...  meanwhile, this current position is sitting with a profit so far of $105.20 in gold dollars, so we should be able to sit back and relax and enjoy the ride, it appears this market has a long way to rally before any legitimate top is made...
The following are the current upside VPs for April gold...
minor - - 1356.50
MAJOR - - 1358.70 (already reached) and must close below that price on Wednesday, March 19th to confirm a new main model sell signal...
MAJOR - - 1369.10 (already reached) and must close below that price on Tuesday, March 25th to confirm a new main model sell signal...
As for now, the main model remains long gold...


BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS:
 
The SP confirmation close ALWAYS refers to the large contract 4:15 pm futures closing price...
 
The NT Indicator
 

The NT indicator is a near term (NT) indicator and is included in the evening briefings for the benefit of those who make counter trend trades... the NT buy and sell spikes are not main model buy and sell signals, these spikes are only very near term, although they could always develop into something more significant over the next few days...  using a weather analogy, the buy/sell spikes are much like a developing low pressure area or a tropical wave, they do not indicate a fully blown hurricane, although it could eventually develop...  if a fully blown hurricane actually does develop, then the main model signal itself would address that market action...

 
How To Read The NT Indicator
 
The best and safest time to take an NT signal is when the market has already trended for some time and is now approaching a VP price, then the NT spike would indicate that the trend is likely to reverse since the market is already vulnerable at a VP price, the NT spike provides greater certainty for that counter trend trade...
 
The VP Price
The VP, or Vertical Price, is NOT a target, the market is not required or expected to reach any VP price...  however, if reached, the VP price represents where the buying/selling has stretched to maximum exhaustion point, at least temporarily, and a change in trend is very likely... 
 
How To Read The VP Price
 
If the market touches and then moves away from the VP very quickly and doesn't return, then this more than likely indicates a market reversal, but if the market moves away from the VP and then returns within a day or two, maybe sooner, then the move is not over and the market is likely to continue in its current trend... repeated visits to a VP suggests the move is not yet over... 
 
A Suggestion On How To Enter A Position On A New Main Model Signal
 
One way to enter a new signal trade is to take only 1/3 position only after the market trades through the confirmation price by a few points...  after that initial position is taken, let the market do what it does all day...  then, late in the day, if the market is still confirming the signal, then add the second 1/3 position...  and then, on the close take the final 1/3 position...  your average entry price will be above/below the confirmation price but the whips will be significantly reduced...  this is a method I use for myself very often...
 
Another way to enter a new position is to wait for the actual confirmation on the close, and then take the new position...
 
Rejected Buy/Sell Signals
 
Rejected buy and/or sell signals are typically followed by a sharp market move in the opposite direction the following day, this occurs as a general rule...  a rejected sell signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp rally...  as well, a rejected buy signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp decline...  however, if the sharp rally/decline does not occur, then you can expect to see the market make another attempt at that buy/sell signal...
 
The Long Term (LT) Indicator
 

The long term (LT) indicator is a myriad of indicators that give you an X-ray view of the market internals and trend...

 
The green line = the closing price for the specific market
 
The red line = the confirmation line
 
The purple line = the early warning line
 
The blue line = the imminent warning line
 
The purple and blue lines crossing the red line gives you early and imminent warning of a change in trend direction...
 
 
The email SUGGESTION BOX is always open and invites your ideas for improving and enhancing your email service, I enjoy hearing from you, many thanks...
NOTICE: I SEND OUT AN EMAIL EVERY WEEKDAY EVENING, IF YOU DO NOT RECEIVE ONE, PLEASE LET ME KNOW, THANKS...